Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Congo had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
