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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
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Senegal
4 - 1
Namibia

Gueye (10'), Diedhiou (38'), Mane (55'), Balde (83')
Sarr (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kamatuka (75')
Hanamub (45+2'), Kambindu (60'), Fredericks (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawNamibia
50.49%24.75%24.76%
Both teams to score 52.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13%49.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13%71.87%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24%19.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2%51.8%
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27%34.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54%71.45%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 50.49%
    Namibia 24.76%
    Draw 24.74%
SenegalDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.76%

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