Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guinea-Bissau in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea-Bissau.
Result | ||
Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
26.84% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() | 46.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.69% (![]() | 54.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% (![]() | 75.69% (![]() |
Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.62% (![]() | 35.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.86% (![]() | 72.14% (![]() |
Guinea-Bissau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% (![]() | 23.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% (![]() | 57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
1-0 @ 8.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.91% |
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