Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match.
Result | ||
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Nigeria |
37.18% (![]() | 27.6% (![]() | 35.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.23% (![]() | 56.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% (![]() | 77.71% (![]() |
Guinea-Bissau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% (![]() | 29.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% (![]() | 65.39% (![]() |
Nigeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% (![]() | 30.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% (![]() | 66.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Nigeria |
1-0 @ 11.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 13.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.21% |
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