Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.33) 
