SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.94%) and 3-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.02%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
77.39% ( -0.2) | 16.64% ( -0.01) | 5.97% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 29.61% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( 0.76) | 53.79% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( 0.64) | 75.26% ( -0.63) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( 0.16) | 12.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( 0.34) | 37.64% ( -0.34) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.68% ( 1.1) | 66.32% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.44% ( 0.44) | 93.56% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nigeria | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 2-0 @ 17.89% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 16.94% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 77.38% | 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.64% | 0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.97% |
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