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SA
International Friendly
Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
SL

South Africa
4 - 0
Sierra Leone

Zwane (33', 64'), Mayambela (49'), Modiba (72')
Sibisi (21'), Le Roux (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cesay (58')
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between South Africa and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawSierra Leone
45.75% (0.159 0.16) 29.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 24.33% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 38.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04)67.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32% (0.025 0.03)85.68% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.10299999999999 0.1)29.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.127 0.13)66% (-0.128 -0.13)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.83% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.17% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)81.07% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 45.74%
    Sierra Leone 24.32%
    Draw 29.91%
South AfricaDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 16.3% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 45.74%
0-0 @ 13.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 29.91%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Mozambique (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, July 13 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: France 5-0 South Africa
Tuesday, March 29 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Guinea
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-2 Congo
Tuesday, March 29 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Sierra Leone
Sunday, March 27 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Sierra Leone
Thursday, March 24 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-1 Eq Guinea
Thursday, January 20 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations


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