SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Sierra Leone |
45.75% ( 0.16) | 29.93% ( -0.04) | 24.33% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 38.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.04) | 67.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.32% ( 0.03) | 85.68% ( -0.03) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.1) | 29.9% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.13) | 66% ( -0.13) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.1) | 45.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( -0.08) | 81.07% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 16.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.27% Total : 45.74% | 0-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.91% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.32% |
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