SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Sierra Leone |
45.49% ( 0.04) | 29.25% ( 0.01) | 25.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.07) | 65.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( -0.05) | 84.05% ( 0.05) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.01) | 28.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.02) | 64.71% ( 0.02) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( -0.09) | 42.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( -0.08) | 79.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.06% Total : 25.26% |
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