SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zambia win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Sierra Leone has a probability of 26.99% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win is 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.49%).
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Zambia |
26.99% ( -0.79) | 26.35% ( -0.4) | 46.66% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.39% ( 1.06) | 54.61% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.05% ( 0.87) | 75.95% ( -0.88) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( -0.07) | 35.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.82% ( -0.07) | 72.18% ( 0.07) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( 1.03) | 23.38% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( 1.47) | 57.36% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.65% |
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