SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
27.99% ( -0.02) | 27.56% ( -0.01) | 44.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.52% ( 0.02) | 58.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( 0.02) | 79.07% ( -0.01) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% | 36.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% | 73.48% ( 0) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( 0.02) | 26.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( 0.03) | 61.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 12.87% 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.44% |
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