SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Zambia has a probability of 28.23% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Zambia win is 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
28.23% ( 0.32) | 27.69% ( 0.58) | 44.07% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 46.49% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( -1.91) | 58.85% ( 1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( -1.51) | 79.35% ( 1.51) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.78) | 36.7% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.79) | 73.49% ( 0.78) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -1.33) | 26.55% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( -1.8) | 61.76% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.07% |
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