Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.84) 
