SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Cape Verde |
7.35% ( 0.24) | 16.69% ( 0.6) | 75.96% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 35.91% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( -1.66) | 49.2% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -1.52) | 71.27% ( 1.52) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.45% ( -0.42) | 59.55% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.58% ( -0.22) | 90.42% ( 0.22) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.79% ( -0.67) | 11.21% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.25% ( -1.49) | 35.75% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 7.35% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.69% | 0-2 @ 15.98% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 14.61% ( 0.59)0-3 @ 11.65% ( -0.18)1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 6.38% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.19)0-5 @ 2.79% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.13)0-6 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.87% Total : 75.94% |
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