SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.6%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.68%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Eswatini |
66.51% ( 0.09) | 23.65% ( -0.01) | 9.83% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 28.89% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.08% ( -0.13) | 65.92% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.47% ( -0.09) | 84.53% ( 0.09) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.02) | 19.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -0.03) | 51.92% ( 0.03) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.03% ( -0.24) | 63.97% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.45% ( -0.11) | 92.55% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 20.52% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 16.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 66.51% | 0-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 9.83% |
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