Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.6%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.68%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.01) 
