Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
