SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Lesotho |
47.62% ( -0.02) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 27.09% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.05) | 50.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.05) | 72.3% ( -0.05) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.01) | 21.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( 0.02) | 54.03% ( -0.02) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.05) | 33.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.05) | 69.66% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
