SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Uganda |
44.22% ( 0.03) | 32.08% ( 0.07) | 23.7% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 33.65% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.2) | 73.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.8% ( -0.12) | 89.2% ( 0.12) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.09) | 33.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( -0.1) | 70.4% ( 0.1) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.23) | 49.22% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.89% ( -0.16) | 84.11% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 18.04% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.21% | 0-0 @ 16.6% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.07% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.7% |
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