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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
ZN
Comoros
1 - 1
Zambia
Youssouf (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Daka (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Comoros
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Comoros 0-2 Zambia

While Saturday's game is nothing but a dead rubber for the already-eliminated Comoros, Zambia need at least a draw to secure their status as group winners. The Chipolopolo boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them picking up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 74.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.35%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
ComorosDrawZambia
7.73% (-0.8681 -0.87) 17.55% (-1.414 -1.41) 74.71% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 35.2% (0.272 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (2.772 2.77)51.38% (-2.775 -2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (2.368 2.37)73.2% (-2.374 -2.37)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.08% (-0.382 -0.38)59.92% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.39% (-0.1971 -0.2)90.61% (0.193 0.19)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (1.495 1.5)12.17% (-1.499 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (3.062 3.06)37.8% (-3.066 -3.07)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 7.74%
    Zambia 74.69%
    Draw 17.55%
ComorosDrawZambia
1-0 @ 3.74% (-0.485 -0.49)
2-1 @ 2.01% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 0.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 7.74%
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.531 -0.53)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.845 -0.85)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.55%
0-2 @ 16.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
0-1 @ 15.35% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-3 @ 11.35% (0.66 0.66)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-4 @ 5.98% (0.66 0.66)
1-3 @ 5.82% (0.273 0.27)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.304 0.3)
0-5 @ 2.52% (0.401 0.4)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 74.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Comoros
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-2 Zambia
Friday, July 14 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 2-4 Zambia
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

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