SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Zambia |
59.37% ( 0.03) | 23.45% ( -0) | 17.18% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.02) | 53.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0.02) | 74.94% ( 0.02) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( 0.01) | 17.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.05) | 44.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.37% ( -0.04) | 80.63% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.18% |
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