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Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 25, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
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Morocco
2 - 1
Malawi

En-Nesyri (45+2'), Hakimi (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mhango (7')
Madinga (33'), Sanudi (60'), Mhango (69')

We said: Morocco 2-0 Malawi

Morocco head into the knockout stages on the back of a fine group-stage run and will look to stamp their name as genuine title contenders. They boast the needed quality and experience at this stage of the competition and we are backing them to come away with the win in regular time on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawMalawi
63.51%21.75%14.74%
Both teams to score 45.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11%50.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.77%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77%44.23%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98%82.02%
Score Analysis
    Morocco 63.5%
    Malawi 14.74%
    Draw 21.74%
MoroccoDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 13.36%
2-0 @ 12.5%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 5.99%
4-0 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 1.01%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.74%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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