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Saturday, June 15
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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 10, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
MN

Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi

Sylla (35')
Conte (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Idana (81'), Mbulu (83')

We said: Guinea 2-1 Malawi

Guinea have more experience at this level and will be expected to come away with all three points in this one, and while we fancy Malawi to push them all the way, we are also backing Guinea to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
GuineaDrawMalawi
53.28%25.51%21.2%
Both teams to score 46.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9%56.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83%77.17%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08%53.92%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92%78.07%
Score Analysis
    Guinea 53.28%
    Malawi 21.2%
    Draw 25.51%
GuineaDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 13.65%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 4.84%
4-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.2%

Read more!
Read more!


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