Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
