South Africa are in for another tough 90 minutes against a spirited Congo DR side who have won each of their last five matches since March. However, the Bafana Bafana are unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches and we see them holding out for a draw in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
