SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Namibia | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Namibia | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Tunisia |
51.77% ( -0.74) | 27.62% ( 0.43) | 20.61% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.11% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.48% ( -1.02) | 63.52% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% ( -0.74) | 82.84% ( 0.74) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.8) | 24.93% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -1.11) | 59.56% ( 1.11) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.26) | 46.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.84% ( -0.2) | 82.15% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.04% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.61% |
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