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African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
LN

Algeria
1 - 0
Libya

Mahious (57' pen.)
Laouafi (90+1'), Aribi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Abbasi (66'), Salama (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Senegal
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Algeria 2-1 Libya

Buoyed by their home supporters, Algeria should be fully up for this one and will back themselves to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. We can see the hosts emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
AlgeriaDrawLibya
74.81% (0.158 0.16) 18.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 6.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 28.99% (-0.923 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.42% (-0.747 -0.75)57.57% (0.749 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.65% (-0.596 -0.6)78.35% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-0.187 -0.19)14% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (-0.368 -0.37)41.53% (0.369 0.37)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.71% (-0.998 -1)66.29% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.45% (-0.417 -0.42)93.54% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 74.8%
    Libya 6.74%
    Draw 18.44%
AlgeriaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 18.25% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 17.93% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 11.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 74.8%
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.262 0.26)
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.44%
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 6.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Senegal
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Mali
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Guinea
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-2 Algeria
Sunday, June 12 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 0-0 Uganda
Wednesday, September 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-0 Botswana
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 2-0 Libya
Tuesday, March 29 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 1-2 Libya
Saturday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies


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