SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Libya |
74.81% ( 0.16) | 18.44% ( 0.05) | 6.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 28.99% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.75) | 57.57% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.6) | 78.35% ( 0.6) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.19) | 14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.47% ( -0.37) | 41.53% ( 0.37) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.71% ( -1) | 66.29% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.45% ( -0.42) | 93.54% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 18.25% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 17.93% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 74.8% | 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.44% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.39% Total : 6.74% |
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