SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Morocco | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Algeria |
| 47.9% | 26.99% | 25.12% |
| Both teams to score 46.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% | 78.76% |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% | 24.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% | 75.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.12% |
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