SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Niger had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Ghana |
20.83% ( 0.14) | 25.81% ( -0.02) | 53.36% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.19) | 57.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.15) | 78.31% ( -0.16) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( 0.27) | 42.8% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( 0.23) | 79.12% ( -0.23) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.02) | 21.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.04) | 54.76% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 14.17% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.35% |
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