SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Niger |
63.84% ( 0.01) | 22.55% ( -0) | 13.6% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( 0.01) | 55.91% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( 0) | 77.02% ( -0) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.01) | 17.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( 0.01) | 47.17% ( -0.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0) | 51.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.56% ( -0) | 85.44% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.4% 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 63.84% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 13.6% |
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