While Niger will be looking to build on their victory over Togo, they face the stern challenge of taking on an Egypt side, who have won their last eight games on home turf. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we predict that the Pharaohs will claim a comfortable win in front of their home fans once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
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