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African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
GN

Madagascar
2 - 1
Ghana

Razafindranaivo (10'), Randriatsiferana (61')
Razafindrabe (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Agyapong (67')
Nsobila (9'), Yiadom (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Madagascar 1-3 Ghana

Ghana boast more experience at this level and are certainly huge favourites to come away with all three points here. We fancy them to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.79%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
MadagascarDrawGhana
14.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.48% (-0.052 -0.05) 61.21% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 37.45% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.152 0.15)61.11% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (0.114 0.11)81.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.77% (0.079999999999998 0.08)53.22% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.21% (0.051 0.05)86.79% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)19.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.136 0.14)52.08% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 14.31%
    Ghana 61.21%
    Draw 24.47%
MadagascarDrawGhana
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.31%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 17.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 13.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 61.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Madagascar 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, July 12 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 3-0 Madagascar
Wednesday, June 1 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, November 14 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Benin 2-0 Madagascar
Thursday, November 11 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: South Korea 2-3 Ghana
Monday, November 28 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Ghana
Thursday, November 24 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Ghana 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, November 17 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Ghana
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 3-0 Ghana
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies


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