World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2022 at 4pm UK

Portugal
3 - 2
Ghana

Ronaldo (65' pen.), Felix (78'), Leao (80')
Pereira (90+1'), Fernandes (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ayew (73'), Bukari (89')
Kudus (45+1'), Ayew (49'), Seidu (57'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Ghana	0	0	0
4	South Korea	0	0	0

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: Ghana 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, November 17 at 10am in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Ghana	0	0	0
4	South Korea	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Ghana
63.3% ( -0.26)	22.78% ( 0.3)	13.92% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 40.65% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

-1.14)

56.19% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75% (

-0.93)

77.24% (

0.92)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68% (

-0.5)

17.32% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.32% (

-0.87)

47.68% (

0.87)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.16% (

-0.75)

50.84% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.77% (

-0.51)

85.23% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Portugal 63.29%

Ghana 13.92%

Draw 22.78%

Portugal	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 15.43% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 63.29%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 13.92%