Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
