SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Elfsborg |
41.2% ( 0.05) | 27% ( -0.01) | 31.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( 0.02) | 55.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( 0.02) | 76.28% ( -0.02) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.04) | 26.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( 0.05) | 61.41% ( -0.05) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -0.02) | 32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.54% ( -0.02) | 68.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.8% |
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