Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
