Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
