Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
