Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
