Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
