Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
