Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
