Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
