Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.
