Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.