Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
