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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 22
Sep 11, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Zeidan (70'), Kiese Thelin (73')
Kiese Thelin (9'), Olsson (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ortmark (3')
Levi (9'), Lund (62'), Ortmark (66'), Salihovic (90+5')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Braga
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Norrkoping 4-1 Hammarby
Monday, September 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawIFK Norrkoping
58.24% (-0.556 -0.56) 22.95% (0.329 0.33) 18.81% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-1.055 -1.06)49.12% (1.049 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.958 -0.96)71.19% (0.95399999999999 0.95)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (-0.562 -0.56)16.57% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.64% (-1.012 -1.01)46.36% (1.006 1.01)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-0.371 -0.37)40.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-0.339 -0.34)76.8% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 58.24%
    IFK Norrkoping 18.81%
    Draw 22.94%
MalmoDrawIFK Norrkoping
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 58.24%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.199 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Braga
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-2 Malmo
Sunday, September 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Kalmar
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sivasspor 0-2 Malmo
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Malmo
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 3-1 Sivasspor
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Norrkoping 4-1 Hammarby
Monday, September 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varbergs 1-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-4 AIK
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, August 14 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Degerfors
Saturday, August 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 2-0 Norrkoping
Monday, August 1 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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