SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 21 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Malmo | 21 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 22 | 0 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Varnamo | 22 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping | 21 | -2 | 24 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 21 | -17 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
58.24% ( -0.56) | 22.95% ( 0.33) | 18.81% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( -1.06) | 49.12% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0.96) | 71.19% ( 0.95) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( -0.56) | 16.57% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% ( -1.01) | 46.36% ( 1.01) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0.37) | 40.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.2% ( -0.34) | 76.8% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.81% |
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