SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | AIK Fotboll | 18 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | Malmo | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| 7 | Kalmar | 19 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 19 | 2 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
66.98% ( -0.22) | 19.21% ( 0.12) | 13.81% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.35) | 42.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.35) | 64.43% ( 0.34) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% ( -0.16) | 11.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.37% ( -0.34) | 36.63% ( 0.34) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.08) | 42.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% ( -0.07) | 78.68% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.21% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.81% |
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