Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Sirius | 13 | -5 | 18 |
11 | IFK Norrkoping | 13 | 1 | 16 |
12 | Varbergs BoIS | 13 | -11 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | AIK Fotboll | 13 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Malmo | 14 | 5 | 24 |
5 | Hammarby | 12 | 12 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result | ||
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
35.74% ( -1.12) | 24.77% ( -0.31) | 39.49% ( 1.44) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( 1.35) | 44.68% ( -1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% ( 1.29) | 67.04% ( -1.28) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( 0.01) | 24.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.04% ( 0.01) | 58.96% ( -0) |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% ( 1.34) | 22.53% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.89% ( 1.95) | 56.11% ( -1.95) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.74% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.49% |
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