SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Kalmar |
40.65% ( 0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.03) | 35.16% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.22) | 42.04% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.22) | 64.44% ( 0.22) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.05) | 20.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.08) | 53.5% ( -0.08) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.3) | 23.61% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.43) | 57.69% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.16% |
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