Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Kalmar
40.65% ( 0.32)	24.19% ( 0.03)	35.16% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 60.48% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95% (

-0.22)

42.04% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.55% (

-0.22)

64.44% (

0.22)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

0.05)

20.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

0.08)

53.5% (

-0.08)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

-0.3)

23.61% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31% (

-0.43)

57.69% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 40.65%

Kalmar 35.16%

Draw 24.19%

Elfsborg	Draw	Kalmar
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.65%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.16%