Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
