Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
