Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Brommapojkarna win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Malmo in this match.