SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 10.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
71.85% ( 0.86) | 17.97% ( -0.39) | 10.18% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 43.55% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.39) | 45.76% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( 0.37) | 68.07% ( -0.37) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.34) | 11.37% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.91% ( 0.74) | 36.09% ( -0.73) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.65) | 50.86% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.75% ( -0.45) | 85.25% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 2-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 71.84% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.97% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.18% |
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