Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Degerfors win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Degerfors	Draw	Malmo
13.27% ( 0.07)	17.91% ( 0.03)	68.82% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81%

37.19% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.61%

59.39%

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.02% (

0.1)

39.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

0.09)

76.64% (

-0.09)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.2% (

-0.02)

9.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.42% (

-0.06)

32.58% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Degerfors 13.27%

Malmo 68.82%

Draw 17.91%

Degerfors	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 13.27%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.91%	0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.08% Total : 68.82%